Texas Tech’s (7-3, 4-3) losing streak moved to three games after yesterday’s 49-26 loss to Kansas State (5-4, 3-3) at Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock, Texas. The Red Raiders (now 1-9 in November for the last three years) are currently in the middle of another end-0f-season meltdown despite a promising 7-0 start to Kliff Kingsbury’s inaugural season.
Let’s take a look back at our Bold Predictions:
We will continue to see a poor run defense by Tech. K-State knows this will happen and will run the ball…a lot.
Tech will turn the ball over twice, and will cause Kansas State to turn it over three times. We haven’t been winning the turnover game when Tech offense is on the field, but look for our defense to catch an interception or two and force fumbles; the KSU QB will show weakness under pressure.
Final score: 38-24 Tech
Kansas State rushed for 291 yards and five touchdowns on the helpless Tech defense. Not only did the Red Raider defense fail to force any takeaways of their own, but quarterback Baker Mayfield (in relief of the no-longer popular Davis Webb) fumbled the ball away on his first series off the bench and threw two interceptions in the second half. Tech hasn’t won the turnover battle against a Big 12 team at home in years.
Kansas State has rushed for 384 yards in their last two games. More than likely, this will be the third game in a row that the Texas Tech defense has given up 200+ yards on the ground. For Texas Tech to win, they’ll need to give up less than 200 yards on the ground. I think Texas Tech will hold Kansas State to around 180 yards.
Someone has to stop Jace Amaro eventually right? Not this week. Kansas States tallest defensive back/linebacker is 6’2. Look for Jace to have another huge day receiving as he goes for 100+ yards and a score.
Kansas State has been prone to turnovers just like the Red Raiders, committing 12 in Big 12 play so far. If you are going to give up a huge amount of rushing yards, you better force some turnovers. Texas Tech will come away with 2 takeaways on the day.
Final score: Texas Tech 31 Kansas State 28
Again, 291 rushing yards. Although Jace extended his streak of games with at least eight catches to nine, he only went for 67 yards.
I’m not sure what to think about this Wildcat offense. On one hand, John Hubert is a great little running back and Daniel Sams is the fastest quarterback in the country. On the other, both quarterbacks in this system have pretty good numbers. In fact, combined, they’re third in the Big 12 yardage wise. Add to that two deep threats like Lockett and Thompson and I think we’ll see Kansas State with more passing touchdowns than rushing.
This Red Raider football team just can’t seem to get out of its own way. Near the bottom of the league in turnover margin and penalties, offensive possessions seem like one mistake after another, and they’ve cost Tech dearly in the last two games. The only good news for Tech is that Kansas State is in a similar boat. I have a feeling we’ll see at least five total turnovers and over 120 combined penalty yards in this one.
Final score: I hate picking against my alma mater, but this team just hasn’t shown they can beat quality opponents. If they’re going to do it tomorrow, they need to protect the football and stop the run. They can’t do either.
37-28, Kansas State
Kansas State rushed for five touchdowns and threw for one (20 yards from Waters to Thompson). Both teams combined committed 16 penalties for 122 yards. I hate being right, but once again, even I expected more effort from the Red Raiders and a much closer game. I probably won’t be picking Tech to lose by single digits next week.
Here’s how we stand with three more games (including the bowl) left to pick: