In this morning’s edition of Red Raiders Daily let’s take a look at Davis Webb‘s Triple Crown odds and how turnover margin has kept Texas Tech from being a contender.
College Football 24/7 over on NFL.com put together a few “watch lists” for each of college football’s “Triple Crowns” that includes a certain Red Raider passer.
The Triple Crown: Passing yards, passing touchdowns, passing efficiency
The skinny: Oakland Raiders rookie quarterback Derek Carr nearly accomplished this last season when he led the country in passing yards and touchdowns, but was much further down the rankings in terms of efficiency. That ends up being the tough part of accomplishing this feat and makes it very similar to the Belmont in the horse-racing Triple Crown.
The contenders: Jameis Winston (Florida State), Bryce Petty (Baylor), Sean Mannion (Oregon State), Rakeem Cato (Marshall) and Davis Webb (Texas Tech).
The Triple Crown: Pass completions in a game, passing yards in a game, passing touchdowns in a game
The skinny: This is all about having a phenomenal game through the air and there should be no shortage of contenders, but it will be extremely tough to accomplish given some of the outliers that tend to happen in these types of games. Connor Halliday came close a season ago and could hit the jackpot this year given how much the Cougars throw the ball. You should notice a trend based on the offense most of the contenders run.
The contenders: Connor Halliday (Washington State), Shane Carden (East Carolina), Davis Webb (Texas Tech), Sean Mannion (Oregon State) and Jared Goff (California).
One of the biggest indicators of success or failure in college football is turnover margin, and Jake Trotter of ESPN.com spells out the harsh truth for Tech fans.
On the flip side, one of the major hindrances that has kept Texas Tech from getting over the hump has been its disastrous turnover margin. The Red Raiders have been dreadful at forcing turnovers, which, as Oklahoma State’s defense has proven, is one of the best ways to stopping the up-tempo attacks of the Big 12. Texas Tech hasn’t been much better at holding onto the ball, either. During their five-game losing streak to cap the regular season, the Red Raiders were a minus-8, and the only time they actually won the turnover battle in an individual game last season came in a 54-16 win at Kansas. In fact, Texas Tech’s turnover margin in the dreaded month of November the last three years is minus-18. With Texas, Baylor and Oklahoma all on the November slate, the only chance the Red Raiders have of reversing that trend of late-season collapses is by cleaning up the turnovers. Having a semi-experienced quarterback in Davis Webb should help. But Texas Tech will not sniff a double-digit winning season — like it did in 2008 when the team was plus-8 — until it improves in the turnover margin department.