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Texas Tech football: Statistical goals for the 2020 offense

By Matthew Conner

LUBBOCK, TEXAS - SEPTEMBER 07: Offensive Coordinator David Yost of Texas Tech watches pregame warmups before the college football game between the Texas Tech Red Raiders and the UTEP Miners on September 07, 2019 at Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock, Texas. (Photo by John E. Moore III/Getty Images)
LUBBOCK, TEXAS - SEPTEMBER 07: Offensive Coordinator David Yost of Texas Tech watches pregame warmups before the college football game between the Texas Tech Red Raiders and the UTEP Miners on September 07, 2019 at Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock, Texas. (Photo by John E. Moore III/Getty Images) /
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Wide receiver KeSean Carter #82 of the Texas Tech Red Raiders catches a touchdown pass during the first half of the college football game between the Texas Tech Red Raiders and the Oklahoma State Cowboys on October 05, 2019 at Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock, Texas. (Photo by John E. Moore III/Getty Images)
Wide receiver KeSean Carter #82 of the Texas Tech Red Raiders catches a touchdown pass during the first half of the college football game between the Texas Tech Red Raiders and the Oklahoma State Cowboys on October 05, 2019 at Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock, Texas. (Photo by John E. Moore III/Getty Images) /

TDs on 65% of red-zone trips

Texas Tech simply has to be better in the red zone this season.  Specifically, more trips need to end in seven points instead of three.

Last year, only 54.9% of Tech’s red zone trips found the end zone.  That was 28 of 51 trips.  This season, a good goal would be 65%.

While a jump of over 11% might seem ambitious, consider how close Tech came to getting to that number last year.  That’s because a number of the red zone possessions that ended in field goals stalled inside the five.

In 2019, five of the Red Raiders’ red zone possessions died inside the opponents’ five.  Had each of them ended in a TD, Tech’s red-zone TD percentage would have risen to 64.7%.

In other words, Tech simply needs to cap off such drives this year to make a significant difference. And if the ground game is as improved this year as we believe it will be, there’s reason to believe that could happen.

Remember that the strength of the Tech offensive line is going to be the center Dawson Deaton, and the two guards, Jack Anderson and Weston Wright.  Down near the goal line is where that trio should shine and that could bring about more red zone success.

You could say that the red zone was Tech’s undoing in a number of games last year.  So if the red zone percentage of TDs rises significantly, all those close losses from last year could turn into close victories in 2020.

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