Texas Tech football: Concerning trends regarding Matt Wells’ career
He’s been awful against Power 5 opponents
One of the biggest questions that a coach from outside of the Power 5 conferences has to answer when taking over a major conference program like Texas Tech is whether or not he can compete at the highest level of the sport. After all, life in the Big 12, Big 10, ACC, SEC, and PAC 12 is far more demanding than life in other leagues because almost every week brings a new Power 5 foe to contend with.
So far in his career, Matt Wells has yet to prove capable of beating such teams with any hint of regularity. In fact, he’s just 3-20 overall.
Now, on the one hand, it’s tough to criticize him too much for going 1-9 against Power 5 teams while at Utah State because those are games the Aggies are not supposed to win. And he did push USC and Utah (2013) and Michigan State (2018) to the brink.
But if he’d proven capable of winning Power 5 games at Tech, we wouldn’t be citing his dreadful record in these games. Since coming to Lubbock, he’s gone a mere 2-11 against Big 12 teams and Arizona, the lone out-of-conference Power 5 school he’s played with the Red Raiders.
The problem Wells faces is that for the rest of his time with the Red Raiders, he’s going to have to face a Power 5 team at least nine and usually ten times per season. There will be no more conference games against New Mexico, UNLV, and Wyoming to help pad the win column and when he loses to Iowa State, Kansas State, or Texas (as he’s done already this year), it will be considered unacceptable rather than simply being a game that no one expected him to win. On the other hand, Red Raider fans already have come to the place where we don’t expect him to win Power 5 games anyway, so he’s got that going for him.